Final day of the Premier League: What is left to play? | football news


Final day deciders at a glance

champions: Manchester City and Liverpool, who are chasing the title, will start the final day separated by a single point.

Third place: Chelsea still need a point to mathematically secure third place, although it would require an unprecedented turnaround in goal difference for Tottenham to overtake Thomas Tuchel’s side.

Champions League Standings: Tottenham effectively only need one point at Norwich to be sure of finishing fourth. Barring another unlikely twist on goal difference, Arsenal can only advance if they beat Everton and Tottenham lose at Norwich.

European League: Arsenal or Tottenham will join Manchester United or West Ham in the Europa League. Manchester United currently lead the Hammers by two points, but David Moyes’ side have a much better goal difference.

Europa League Conference: Should Manchester United lose or draw at Palace and West Ham beat Brighton on the final day, Man Utd will play in the Europa League Conference next season.

Decline: One from Burnley and Leeds will be relegated along with Norwich and Watford. Although Burnley and Leeds will start the final day level on points, Leeds’ much lower goal difference means they will have to improve on Burnley’s result to stay top. Burnley are sure to survive whether they win or Leeds lose.

Golden Boot: Mo Salah is currently the leader of the scoring charts (22) by a single goal from Heung-Min Son. Cristiano Ronaldo is four behind Salah.

Gold Glove: Alisson and Ederson are currently tied for 20 clean sheets each this term.

Schedule of the final day of the Premier League

Arsenal v Everton
Brentford vs Leeds United- Live on Sky Sports
Brighton West Ham
Burnley v Newcastle
Chelsea v Watford
Crystal Palace-Manchester United
Leicester v Southampton
Liverpool vs Wolves – Live on Sky Sports
Manchester City vs Aston Villa – Live on Sky Sports
Norwich v Tottenham

Potential changes in the last day

data guru ben mayhew calculated the range of each club’s possible final league positions and found that, in addition to the three key battles in the title race, the top four spot and the relegation battle, six other clubs are battling to finish in the league. upper half.

mayhew it has also simulated all the possible results of the remaining matches and has calculated the probabilities of the possible final positions of each club.

The results suggest manchester city have a 79 per cent chance of retaining their Premier League crown, leaving Liverpool with a probability of 21 times the probability of causing a seismic disturbance.

predictions back tottenham maintain its fourth position with 91 percent and Arsenal by a scant nine percent, while leeds are 78 percent favorites to face the drop, with Burnley still at serious risk in 22 percent.

Club by club: Where could each club finish?

manchester city

Victory over Aston Villa will ensure that City finish the season as champions. Due to their superior goal difference over Liverpool, City will only drop to second place if they lose or draw against Villa and Liverpool beat Wolves. A draw for Liverpool and a loss for City won’t be enough unless Villa win by at least six goals.


As stated above, Liverpool must improve on City’s last matchday result to be crowned champions. If City won, Liverpool would finish second. Both City vs Aston Villa and Liverpool vs Wolves will be shown live on Sky Sports.


Three points above Tottenham, Chelsea’s goal difference is also so superior that they are sure to finish third. At a minimum, Chelsea will finish fourth, like last season, and qualify for the Champions League.


Tottenham could still finish third, fourth or fifth. In all likelihood, third place is out of reach and a draw at Norwich should be enough to secure fourth place.


After failing to qualify for Europe last year, Arsenal are sure to finish in the top five this season and qualify for the Europa League. They will only qualify for the Champions League if they beat Everton and Tottenham lose at Norwich – the gulf in goal difference means it is unlikely Arsenal will finish above Tottenham if Spurs draw at Norwich.

manchester united

Already doomed to end the season with their lowest score in Premier League history, United will drop to seventh place on the final day – and the Europa League Conference – if they lose or draw at Palace and West Ham win at Brighton. .

western ham

As mentioned above, the Hammers, who start the day two points behind Manchester United, must win at Brighton to have any hope of equaling sixth place from last season. Wolves are five points behind West Ham, so David Moyes’ side are sure to finish in the top seven.


While Wolves will definitely improve on last year’s 13th place, they can’t finish higher than their current position of 8th and could drop as low as 10th if the results (a loss at Liverpool along with wins for Brighton and Leicester) go against them. in the last day. .


There is plenty to play for on the final day for Brighton – they could finish the season in 12th place, while a win at home to West Ham could propel them up to eighth place. But Brighton are, at the very least, certain to finish well above last year’s final spot of 16 and their previous Premier League best of 15.


In their first season in the Premier League, Brentford could still finish in the top half, although ninth can only be achieved with a Final Day win over Leeds, live on Sky Sports, and defeats to Brighton and Wolves. Conversely, Brentford could also finish as low as 14th with Newcastle currently on the same number of points and both Palace and Villa just a point behind.


With the mid-table so congested, Newcastle have a potential six-place change of position to play on the final day – they could finish ninth with a win at Burnley and results elsewhere go their way while a loss, or even a tie could result in them dropping to 14th place.

crystal Palace

Starting the final day on 13th, Palace cannot finish lower than 14th, while their superior goal difference over their M23 rivals means they may still finish above Brighton in 10th, although that outcome is also not dependent on Newcastle or Brentford win. like Palace beating Manchester United and Brighton losing to West Ham.


Villa is one of the seven teams that could finish tenth. But, starting the final day in 14th place, their goal difference – not to mention their opponents in the form of title-chasing Manchester City – means the prospect of a table charge is remote. However, they are sure to finish in at least 14th place, as 15th-placed Southampton are five points behind.


Tuesday’s loss to Liverpool has already confirmed that Southampton, five points behind Villa, will be unable to improve on last year’s final position of 15th, which is where they currently reside in this season’s table and where they are guaranteed to be. which will remain if Everton lose to Arsenal. .


Having secured Premier League survival with their dramatic victory over Palace, Everton now have little to play for on the final day. To finish above Southampton, they must improve on the Saints’ result on Sunday, but even then, their final league position will pale to last year’s 10th place.


And then there were two. Struggling to stay in 17th place and in the Premier League, Burnley will start the final matchday just above the relegation zone on goal difference, but their tally is so superior to Leeds that the Clarets are certain to hold on if they beat Newcastle at home. . Likewise, a draw will suffice as long as Leeds do not beat Brentford.

Leeds United

One certainty on the final day is that Leeds will be relegated if they lose at Brentford. A draw will only be enough to secure 17th place if Burnley lose and even victory will not be enough, barring a goal difference of 20 goals, if Burnley also win.


Two years after being relegated from the Premier League after finishing penultimate, Watford’s relegation from the Premier League this season has already been confirmed and, once again, they will start the final matchday penultimate.


And another case of déjà vu: two years after being relegated from the Premier League after bottoming out, Norwich have already been confirmed relegated from the Premier League this season and will start Final Day, yes, you guessed it, bottom out another time . They already have at least one point more than they did in 2019/20 and an incentive for the Canaries on Sunday is the opportunity to finish above Watford, which they will do if they win at home against Tottenham and the Hornets fail to get three. points at Chelsea.


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